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At this point, any potential Biden-Harris voter in Wisconsin is getting text messages, phone calls, mailers in their mailbox, door hangers, literature, televisionFacebookInstagramradio —a constant drumbeat of reminders, information, support, and every possible kind of encouragement to cast a ballot and cast it early. Wisconsin is experiencing a horrific and tragic coronavirus explosion. We wiscknsin setting grim records every day for deaths, hospitalizations, and new infections.

Is he? It would be an ahistorical stunner to have a margin in that territory. Dovere: Are we even able to tell what a likely voter is at this point, for Biden or for Trump?

Dovere: The lesson that reporters were supposed to learn from was to get out and talk to people more. Do you feel like you have a sense of where things stand? Wikler: We have a lot of data points to mull over.

We have the of a huge of conversations on the phones and interactions of text messages. We have polling in state legislative races, as well as the presidential race—a greater volume of public polling.

All those tell stories. One is that Democrats are not taking things for granted or viewing this as spectators.

We have a lot of information about how our side is energized. Or is their level of energy lower on the Trump side than we think?

Part of the uncertainty is greater in Wisconsin because we have same-day voter registration, which is between a 10th and an eighth of the total electorate in a typical year. People show up to cast their ballots, and they were not on any voter file before that moment.

Dovere: So will it all come down to Wisconsin? Wikler: If this race gets unexpectedly close in the final moments, if Trump could contest the balance one way or the other, then yes.

Dovere: Wisconsin Democrats keep ending up in front of the Supreme Court challenging election rulings. The latest this week, with an opinion written by Justice Kavanaughbarred counting ballots received after Election Day.